Dr Yongxiang Lei · Singapore

From prediction
to trustworthy
decisions.

I develop interpretable, uncertainty-aware learning and control methods for renewable energy, climate forecasting, and industrial systems.

Research Scientist
SIMTech, A*STAR

Portrait of Dr Yongxiang Lei in a dark suit beside a bookshelf
Learning · Dynamics · Decisions
Trustworthy AIProbabilistic forecastingPredictive controlDigital twins

01 / Research

Learning with purpose.
Engineering with insight.

Connecting data-driven models with the physical systems they help us understand and control.

Research focus

Forecasting that informs control

Probabilistic wave prediction accounts for uncertainty in the future excitation of a wave energy converter. Connecting those forecasts to model predictive control brings prediction and energy-conversion decisions into one framework. My broader research interests include wind-turbine pitch control and reinforcement learning.

Methods & interests

Probabilistic diffusion modelsModel predictive controlReinforcement learning

02 / Selected work

Research in print.

A selection of published work across climate, renewable energy, industrial modelling, and control.

9 publications

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2026
Control & autonomy

Robust Tube-Based Model Predictive Control for Docking Process Self-Balancing Control of a Reconfigurable Unmanned Ground Vehicle

C. Yang, X. Xiaojun, and Y. Lei

IEEE Transactions on Automation and Science Engineering

Research focus

Robust tube-based predictive control for self-balancing during the docking of a reconfigurable unmanned ground vehicle.

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2026Online 2025
Climate · Interpretability

Tem²-KAN: Data-driven temporal temperature prediction via an improved Kolmogorov–Arnold network

Y. Lei, B. Deng, and Z. Wang

ISA Transactions

Research focus

A Kolmogorov–Arnold network for temperature forecasting, using learnable univariate functions to model temporal relationships.

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2025
Climate · Interpretability

Climate Temporal Temperature Prediction via an Interpretable Kolmogorov–Arnold Neural Network

Y. Lei, B. Deng, and Z. Wang

IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement

Research focus

Interpretable temporal temperature prediction with a Kolmogorov–Arnold neural network.

Explore climate forecasting code
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2025
Industry · Uncertainty

Data-centric probabilistic temperature prediction with quantified uncertainty using Bayesian machine learning for the aluminum electrolysis process

Y. Lei, X. Chen, Y. Yu, and A. E. Cetin

Control Engineering Practice

Research focus

Bayesian learning for probabilistic process-temperature prediction and uncertainty quantification in aluminum electrolysis.

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2024
Energy · Prediction & control

A wave forecasting method based on probabilistic diffusion LSTM network for model predictive control of wave energy converters

Y. Lei

Applied Soft Computing

Research focus

Probabilistic diffusion and temporal modelling are connected to model predictive control for wave energy conversion.

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2023
Industry · Prediction & control

Intelligent Optimal Framework for the Industrial Mining Plant-Wide Prediction Control

Y. Lei

IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement

Research focus

A prediction-and-control framework addressing the interactions of industrial mining processes at the plant level.

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2023
Industry · Soft sensing

DualLSTM: A Novel Key-Quality Prediction for a Hierarchical Cone Thickener

Y. Lei and H. R. Karimi

Control Engineering Practice

Research focus

Temporal modelling for key-quality prediction in a hierarchical cone thickener.

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2022
Industry · Self-supervised learning

A Self-Supervised Temporal Temperature Prediction Method Based on Dilated Contrastive Learning

Y. Lei, X. Chen, Y. Xie, and L. Cen

Journal of Process Control

Research focus

Self-supervised temporal representation learning for industrial temperature prediction.

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2022
Industry · Digital twins

A Digital Twin Model of Three-Dimensional Shading for Simulation of the Ironmaking Process

Y. Lei and H. R. Karimi

Machines

Research focus

Digital-twin modelling and simulation for the ironmaking process.

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Research monograph

Academic Press / Elsevier

ISBN 9780443367595

Learning-Based Soft Sensing and Predictions for Process Industries

Theory, Methodology and Applications

Hamid Reza Karimi & Yongxiang Lei

Learning-based modelling, prediction, and soft sensing for industrial processes.

Explore the book

03 / About

Across disciplines.
Grounded in engineering.

My work brings together machine learning, uncertainty quantification, and the dynamics of physical systems.

I am a Research Scientist at the Singapore Institute of Manufacturing Technology (SIMTech), A*STAR. My research spans interpretable neural networks, probabilistic forecasting, reinforcement learning, model predictive control, and digital twins.

I received my PhD in Mechanical Engineering (Control) from Politecnico di Milano in 2024. My research and teaching at the University of Warwick have focused on learning-based prediction and control for offshore renewable and sustainable energy.

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Education & doctoral research

  1. Doctoral researchUniversity of Warwick

    Engineering · Prediction and control for offshore renewable energy

  2. 2024Politecnico di Milano

    PhD · Mechanical Engineering (Control)

  3. 2020Central South University

    MSc · Control Engineering

  4. 2017University of South China

    BSc · Automation

Teaching

Sharing ideas through practice.

Graduate teaching at the University of Warwick in nonlinear control, reinforcement learning, and systems modelling.

  • ES4G4 · Nonlinear Control and Reinforcement Learning
  • ES197 · Systems Modelling, Simulation and Computation

Academic service

Contributing to the research community.

Guest editing on climate forecasting and soft sensing, and prediction and control for offshore energy.

  • Applied Sciences · Climate modelling and applications
  • Energy Engineering · Offshore energy prediction and control

Recognition

Selected awards.

  • Best PhD Dissertation AwardPolitecnico di Milano · 2024
  • Oral Presentation WinnerPostgraduate Research Showcase, University of Warwick · 2025

04 / Connect

Better questions.
Better engineering decisions.

For research collaborations in trustworthy AI, forecasting, predictive control, and digital twins.